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Re: INSIGHT - VZ/Colombia - VZ regime stability and Makled

Released on 2012-03-09 04:00 GMT

Email-ID 1011072
Date 2010-11-19 23:49:06
dude, yeah.. Cabello is serious shit. Everyone was speculating he would
be the one to replace Chavez. I'll be writing on this as soon as i get
the OK from the source
On Nov 19, 2010, at 4:49 PM, Michael Wilson wrote:

heh I just realized Diosdao's maternal last name is

Cabello held down the presidency for Chavez during the 2002 coup and I
think was vice-president at one point around then

On 11/19/10 4:35 PM, Reginald Thompson wrote:

PUBLICATION: analysis/background
SOURCE Reliability : B
There's been heavy negotiation between VZ and Colombia and US over
Makled extradition
US has given approval to Colombia's extradition of Makled to VZ (as we
Unclear exactly what all the Colombian demands are, but from what I've
been able to gather, Colombia has given a list to VZ of the most
senior guerillas that they want extradited. US is demanding info from
VZ on VZ banks and their connections to narco-trafficking and Iran so
they can build cases against them.
Source seemed surprised that US isn't pushing for more... as he said
'what can I say, this is how the Obama adminstration has been with
this issue. There isn't a real strategy. If it were me, I would hold
Makled over Chavez's head and extract as much as possible from him,
but they're going soft on this." there's also no coordination. DoJ
says they want Mackled but they have to raise it to the level of the
presidency and state to get it going. They're not focused on it at
all. DEA can't coordinate either.
(side note - this clarifies a bit what Uribe told me about the US
having to 'raise its voice' in demanding Makled. I think the
Colombians are surprised that the US isn't pushing more on this. As
the source says, Santos is not naive.)
Before Chavez supported Rangel, Rangel and the most senior general
went to CHavez and asked 'who are you going to side with?" Chavez
didn't have much choice but to do something, liket his promotion to
show the rest that he wasn't going to betray them over Makled.
Watch Diosdado Cabello and Tomas Rondon. They're out. Completely
sidelined. Even their cell phones that they use for a direct line to
the president have been taken away. They knew too much. From what
we've been able to gather, the total amount of money laundered between
the two reaches as high as $15 billion (!)
I asked how is VZ containing them if they know too much. He laughed
and said Reva, Reva... I'm sure the Cubans can take of that.
He agrees that all the activity around the housing projects is a rush
job for them to launder more money, but will get more info on that in
a couple weeks.
Below is some info on Cabello and Rondon that Reggie compiled for me:
Diosdado Cabello
* . Cabello is currently the Vice President of the Central
PSUV Political Region
o He attended meetings earlier this month of the PSUV National
Directorate where the *three Rs* program to relaunch the revolution
has been a topic of discussion (link)
o Journalist Miguel Salazar seems to imply in a column from this
month that Cabello is one of Chavez*s protected associates, despite
his apparent falling out with him and that he has his eyes set on the
presidency of the national assembly (link)
S: Interesting aside: Salazar claims Cabello acted as financier for
the La Piedrita paramilitary group, which attacked opposition news
o Cabello has been linked to several scandals in recent news
stories. These include:
S: The BusCaracas program in Caracas was meant to be a bus line to be
completed in Aug. 2009, while Cabello was minister of public works.
The first stage of the project may be completed in the first quarter
of 2011 (link).
S: Legislator Julio Garcia Jarpa has criticized Cabello for promising
in 2009 to deliver 400 houses in Tachira state that were never
completed (link).

Tomas Sanchez Rondon
* . Sanchez Rondon is still in charge of Bolivariana de
Seguros and Seguros La Previsora (link)
o He was accused of corruption in anonymous e-mails that claimed he
had brought one of his sons, Ronald Sanchez Mejia, aboard but without
an official title (link)
S: Ronald reportedly negotiates insurance coverage with state-owned
firms, is in charge of collecting payments and maintaining relations
with customers.
o I don*t really understand what Sanchez Rondon is accused of in the
email, because it goes around in circles and never really goes into
specific charges past the fraudulent employment of his son. However,
it seems that the firm Bolivariana de Seguros functions irregularly
and apparently employs many people but doesn*t really have much
business. It appears to be some sort of insurance fraud.
they know too much - the amount of money that has been laundered $15
housing -- need to launder more money
radar equipment --
giving to
a deal in Abu Dhabi
recent paid by the VZ re

Michael Wilson
Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR
Office: (512) 744 4300 ex. 4112