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Re: ANALYSIS FOR COMMENT: Russian interior ministry cuts - 1

Released on 2012-05-10 01:00 GMT

Email-ID 1090102
Date 2009-12-28 16:50:24
Bring me a billionaire English lord. Thanks ;)

Peter Zeihan wrote:

bring us chocolate

from switerland

not kent

kent food is naaaaaaaasty

Lauren Goodrich wrote:

I'm in Kent, suppose to head to Switzerland on Thurs......
unless you need me home now-- which I really want to do-- so you
should order me home!
"Sorry, my boss has ordered me back to Austin"

George Friedman wrote:

hey, are you back from Switzerland yet? Where are you now world

Lauren Goodrich wrote:

Its mainly bureaucracy.
Mainly all the FSB guys who have cushy jobs there now

Eugene Chausovsky wrote:

The specifics of the cut have yet to be released - this is just
a shorty update that confirms the insight from our previous
piece on the Interior Ministry. I'm sure we will be addressing
this more in-depth in the near future.

Nate Hughes wrote:

any idea where these cuts are being made? Across the board?
Primarily in internal security and police troops? Trimming the
bureaucracy? Some detail would help us understand the ways in
which the interior ministry may be weakened. If it isn't known
where, we should probably caveat that explicitly, maybe
offering some perspective on options...

Russian President Dmitri Medvedev signed a presidential
decree Dec 24 which calls for a 20 percent reduction in the
personnel of the country's Interior Ministry by Jan 1, 2012.
The Interior Ministry has been subject to serious state
scrutiny over the past few months, particularly since the
death of Sergei Magnitsky, a Russian lawyer working for
London-based Hermitage Capital who died in prison due to
allegedly harsh conditions. The Interior Ministry controls
Russia's prison system, as well as the country's police
force and a powerful contingent of roughly 200,000 troops

Medvedev's recent announcement confirms previous STRATFOR
insight (LINK) that the Interior Ministry would be a prime
target in the Kremlin clan wars (LINK), which pits chief
Kremlin aid Vladislav Surkov and his clan of GRU and the
civiliki (a group of economic and legal technocrats) against
deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin and his FSB clan
consisting of siloviki (or strongmen). Surkov has long had
his sights set on the Interior Ministry, and FSB stronghold,
and this latest move indicates that he was successful in
persuading Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin that the
Interior Ministry required some serious purging. This
announcement shows that the clan wars are heating up, and
STRATFOR will continue to closely monitor the situation as
it unfolds.

Lauren Goodrich
Director of Analysis
Senior Eurasia Analyst
T: 512.744.4311
F: 512.744.4334


George Friedman

Founder and CEO


700 Lavaca Street

Suite 900

Austin, Texas 78701

Phone 512-744-4319

Fax 512-744-4334

Lauren Goodrich
Director of Analysis
Senior Eurasia Analyst
T: 512.744.4311
F: 512.744.4334

Karen Hooper
Latin America Analyst